The impact of Cyclone Murasu on Madhya Pradesh is likely to remain limited, with isolated light to moderate rainfall expected in parts of eastern and southeastern districts over the next two days, the India Meteorological Department (IMD) has said. The weather system is weakening after crossing the Andhra Pradesh coast, reducing the likelihood of significant rainfall in the state.
Arun Sharma, a meteorologist at IMD’s Meteorological Centre in Bhopal, told Ground Report that the cyclone is unlikely to bring heavy rainfall to Madhya Pradesh. The department expects scattered showers, mainly over Rewa, Shahdol and parts of the Jabalpur division.
“The system is gradually weakening as it moves inland. We may see isolated light to moderate rainfall in some parts of Madhya Pradesh, particularly in the eastern regions,” Sharma said.
He said the rainfall could continue for around two days, after which the state is unlikely to experience any significant impact from the cyclone.
Rainfall Likely In Eastern Madhya Pradesh
The IMD’s November 2 bulletin forecast isolated to scattered rainfall across eastern and western Madhya Pradesh from November 2 to 5. It also warned of gusty winds reaching 30–40 kmph in both regions during November 3–5.
Sharma said the rainfall would remain scattered rather than widespread. Rewa, Shahdol and southeastern parts of the Jabalpur division are among the areas likely to receive showers.
The IMD’s November 3 sea-area bulletin confirmed that Murasu crossed the south Andhra Pradesh coast between Nellore and Narsapur, near Ongole, between 3.30 am and 5.30 am. The system was expected to weaken into a cyclonic storm by noon and a deep depression by midnight.
The cyclone had intensified into a severe cyclonic storm over the west-central Bay of Bengal before landfall. According to the IMD’s bulletin, its wind speed had reached 100–110 kmph, with gusts up to 120 kmph.
Falling Night Temperatures Not Unusual
Night temperatures have fallen across several parts of Madhya Pradesh, with Katni recording 15.5°C and Shajapur 14.4°C during the 24 hours before Sharma’s assessment.
Sharma said these readings did not indicate an unusual temperature decline. Most areas were recording minimum temperatures close to the normal range, with departures of around 1°C below normal in the two locations.
He attributed the recent change to the clearance of cloud cover after several days of cloudy weather.
“When the sky remains clear, temperatures change differently during the day and night. Maximum temperatures rise as cloud cover disappears, while minimum temperatures gradually fall,” he said.
He added that maximum temperatures remained below normal in some districts but had risen above normal in others. The state was therefore experiencing mixed temperature conditions rather than a uniform drop.
November May Bring Mixed Rainfall Across The State
Sharma said Madhya Pradesh could see different rainfall patterns across its regions during November. The Gwalior-Chambal region is likely to receive below-normal rainfall, while the Ujjain division may record rainfall close to normal levels.
Parts of central and eastern Madhya Pradesh could receive above-normal rainfall during the month, he said.
Temperature patterns may also vary across the state. Maximum temperatures are likely to remain around normal or slightly above normal in several areas. Minimum temperatures could stay below normal in parts of eastern Madhya Pradesh, while Gwalior and Ujjain divisions may experience warmer nights.
The IMD’s November 2026 monthly outlook also points to normal or below-normal minimum temperatures across much of central and eastern India. It expects maximum temperatures to remain above normal across most parts of the country.
Limited Impact Expected On Crops
The rainfall and wind forecast had raised questions about possible damage to standing crops and harvested produce during the ongoing harvesting and sowing season.
Sharma said the weakening system was unlikely to cause significant agricultural damage in Madhya Pradesh. Winds could blow for short periods, particularly in eastern parts of the state, but the department did not expect a major impact.
The IMD’s extended-range bulletin has advised farmers in eastern Madhya Pradesh to harvest mature soybean and maize wherever possible, move harvested produce to safer locations and keep drainage channels clear in vegetable fields.
The IMD’s extended-range forecast for October 29 to November 11 carries these advisories.
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