Jammu and Kashmir is bracing for heavy rain and snowfall as two active western disturbances converge over the region. The India Meteorological Department issued warnings on December 20, 2025, signaling the first major weather change after weeks of dry conditions.
Dual Weather Systems Target the Region
Two western disturbances are currently driving the weather changes. The first has formed as a cyclonic circulation at 3.1 kilometers altitude directly over Jammu and surrounding areas. The second extends up to 5.8 kilometers over southwest Iran and neighboring regions, with its effects reaching the Kashmir valley.
A subtropical western jet stream is also active over northern India, with wind speeds reaching 105 knots. This combination has significantly increased the likelihood of precipitation across the union territory.
Heavy Precipitation Expected on December 21
The weather department forecasts scattered rain and snowfall across Jammu and Kashmir over the next four days. Particularly heavy rain and snowfall are expected in parts of Jammu and Kashmir, Ladakh, Gilgit-Baltistan, and Muzaffarabad on December 21.
The intensity of precipitation will vary across different altitude zones, with higher reaches receiving substantial snowfall while lower areas experience heavy rainfall.
Traffic Disruptions Anticipated
Mountain roads are expected to become slippery and hazardous as snow accumulates. The meteorological department has warned that traffic disruptions are likely, especially on major highways connecting different regions of the union territory.
Travelers are advised to avoid unnecessary journeys during peak precipitation hours and to carry emergency supplies if travel is essential.
Extended Weather Pattern
While December 21 will see the heaviest precipitation, scattered rain and snowfall will continue throughout the western Himalayan region for four consecutive days. This extended weather pattern marks a significant departure from the prolonged dry spell that preceded it.
The moisture from these western disturbances will provide much-needed relief to water sources and agriculture in the region, though it will also create temporary disruptions to daily life.
Regional Weather Forecast
| Area | Forecast | Expected Impact |
|---|---|---|
| Jammu | Heavy rain | Traffic disruptions, slippery roads |
| Kashmir Valley | Scattered rain and snowfall | Road closures possible |
| Ladakh | Heavy snowfall | Mountain passes may close |
| Gilgit-Baltistan | Heavy rain and snowfall | Travel advisories in effect |
| Muzaffarabad | Heavy precipitation | Landslide risk on mountain roads |
| Higher reaches (all areas) | Substantial snowfall | Isolated areas may be cut off |
| Lower altitude zones | Heavy rainfall | Urban flooding possible |
Safety Precautions
Authorities advise residents to remain indoors during heavy precipitation and to stock essential supplies. Those living in areas prone to landslides should stay alert and follow evacuation orders if issued.
Drivers must exercise extreme caution on mountain roads and use tire chains where necessary. Emergency services are on standby to respond to weather-related incidents.
The weather department continues to monitor the situation closely and will issue updated warnings as the western disturbances progress across the region.
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