Madhya Pradesh is heading into another weather shift. After days of warm afternoons and cold nights across the state, clouds are expected to spread across the region from February 16 onwards as a new Western Disturbance pushes in from the west.
Hot Days, Cold Nights Define February So Far
Seventeen cities, including Bhopal, Indore, Ujjain, Jabalpur, and Khandwa, crossed 30 degrees Celsius on Friday. Khandwa led all stations with a peak daytime temperature of 33.5°C, making it the hottest city in the state. Despite the warm afternoons, nights across the state remained sharply cold, especially in the hilly and central belt.
Pachmarhi recorded the second-coldest night at 9.2°C, while Karaundi in Katni district logged the lowest temperature in the state at 8.9°C. Khajuraho followed at 10.4°C, with Rajgarh, Mandsaur, Naugaon, Rewa, and Umaria all recording night temperatures below 11°C. Even among the five major cities, Gwalior recorded a cool 12.5°C overnight.
“Light clouds are already present in some districts due to a western disturbance. A new system will affect the western Himalayan region from February 16, bringing clouds to the state and pushing minimum temperatures up by 2 to 3 degrees within two days.”, Dr. Divya E. Surendran, Senior Weather Scientist, IMD Bhopal
What Changes After February 16
The incoming Western Disturbance will trigger snowfall in the mountain regions first. Once that system passes and the snow begins to melt, cold air will drain southward — potentially bringing another mild winter spell to Madhya Pradesh. Meteorologists say the season will hold its pattern: warm days and cool nights, with no harsh cold and no dense fog expected through the rest of February.
February 15, Tomorrow
Patchy Fog, Cloudy by Day
Light fog expected in isolated districts early morning. No rain alert. Cloud cover likely to build through the afternoon. Night temperatures remain low.
February 16, Sunday
Clouds Spread, Fog Lingers
A few districts may see morning fog again. No rain warning issued. Daytime skies turn significantly overcast as the Western Disturbance takes effect.
Data, Friday Night / Saturday Morning
City-wise Temperatures & Weather Forecast, Madhya Pradesh
| City | Day Temp (°C) | Night Temp (°C) | Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|
| Khandwa | 33.5 ↑ | — | Hottest Day |
| Bhopal | >30 | ~13 | Partly Cloudy |
| Indore | >30 | 14.0 | Partly Cloudy |
| Ujjain | >30 | ~12 | Clear |
| Jabalpur | >30 | ~13 | Partly Cloudy |
| Gwalior | ~29 | 12.5 | Light Fog |
| Khajuraho | >30 | 10.4 ↓ | Cold Night |
| Pachmarhi | ~26 | 9.2 ↓ | Cold Night |
| Katni (Karaundi) | ~29 | 8.9 ↓ | Coldest Night |
| Rajgarh | ~30 | 10.6 | Light Fog |
| Mandsaur | ~30 | 10.7 | Clear |
| Rewa / Naugaon | >30 | 10.8 | Partly Cloudy |
| Umaria | >30 | 10.9 | Partly Cloudy |
| Khargone | >30 | ~13 | Warm Day |
| Sagar | >30 | ~13 | Clear |
| Betul | >30 | ~13 | Partly Cloudy |
| Seoni | >30 | ~12 | Clear |
No Harsh Cold or Dense Fog Expected
Despite the incoming cloud cover, IMD scientists say residents need not brace for intense winter conditions. The rest of February will bring warm afternoons and cooler nights, a pattern typical of the transition between winter and pre-summer in central India. Dense fog, which disrupted travel and agriculture in January, is not expected to return.
The next significant change will come after the Western Disturbance clears the mountains. As snowmelt sends cold air southward, MP could see another brief cold spell, but nothing comparable to peak January conditions. Residents in Pachmarhi, Katni, and Khajuraho should continue to expect the coldest nights in the state through the weekend.
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