Rain and cold weather are expected across Madhya Pradesh over the next two days due to the combined effect of a low-pressure area and a cyclonic circulation. The India Meteorological Department (IMD) has forecast light rain and cloudy skies in several districts, including Bhopal, Indore, Ujjain, and Gwalior.
Senior meteorologist Dr. Divya E. Surendran said, “A low-pressure area and a cyclonic circulation system were active in the northeastern region on Sunday. Their impact will continue through Monday and Tuesday.”
According to the IMD, over 30 districts in the Bhopal, Indore, Ujjain, Narmadapuram, Gwalior, Sagar, and Jabalpur divisions will experience clouds, thunder, and light rain in the next 48 hours. On Sunday, sunshine raised day temperatures by up to 2.9 degrees Celsius in many cities. The temperature reached 31.1°C in Bhopal, 30.1°C in Indore, 31°C in Gwalior, 30°C in Ujjain, and 29.8°C in Jabalpur.
A new western disturbance is also expected to affect the weather. It will become active over the western Himalayan region on the night of November 4, and its impact will reach Madhya Pradesh after two days. Northerly winds are likely to bring down both day and night temperatures.
October saw unusually heavy rainfall across the state. Madhya Pradesh recorded 2.8 inches of rain—121 percent more than the average of 1.3 inches. October 30 was also the coldest day in Bhopal in the last 25 years, with the temperature dropping to 24°C.
Indore received 3.4 inches of rain in October, the second-highest in ten years. Bhopal recorded 2.8 inches, Jabalpur 3.3 inches, Gwalior 4.2 inches, and Ujjain 2.1 inches. Sheopur district recorded the highest rainfall in the state, followed by Jhabua, Singrauli, and Sidhi. Only Khandwa district received less rainfall than usual.
The state also saw a strong monsoon season. Thirty districts, including Bhopal and Gwalior, received heavy to very heavy rainfall. Guna district topped the list with 65.7 inches of rain during the season, while Sheopur recorded 216 percent of its normal rainfall.
Meteorologists say cold weather will intensify from the second week of November. The Gwalior-Chambal region, exposed to direct northern winds, is expected to see a sharp fall in temperature. Records show that in past years, Gwalior’s minimum temperature has fallen to 3°C in November, while Ujjain has recorded as low as 2.3°C.
Light rain is likely to continue in the first week of November, followed by a drop in temperatures as winter begins to set in across the state.
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