Madhya Pradesh may see the arrival of monsoon 8 to 10 days earlier than usual this year. The India Meteorological Department (IMD) said the monsoon reached several parts of Maharashtra, including Mumbai and Pune, on Monday—15 days before its usual schedule.
If the current pace continues, the monsoon may reach Madhya Pradesh between 4 and 7 June. Normally, it enters the state around 15 June, but in recent years, it has arrived later—between 18 to 22 June. Last year, it reached MP on 21 June. This year, scientists expect an early onset.
The IMD will release a detailed monsoon forecast from New Delhi on Tuesday evening. Officials will provide a national outlook and predictions for states like Madhya Pradesh.
The monsoon is expected to first enter the southern districts of the state. These include Mandla, Seoni, Dindori, Balaghat, Anuppur, Burhanpur, Pandhurna, Betul, and Barwani. It may reach central districts like Bhopal and Indore between 20 and 22 June. Northern areas like Gwalior and Chambal may get monsoon rains by 25 June.
Meteorologists say rainfall this season may be above average. The forecast shows MP could receive 38 to 39 inches of rain—around 104 to 106 percent of normal. Jabalpur and Shahdol divisions are likely to see the highest rainfall. Districts in Bhopal, Indore, Ujjain, and Gwalior divisions are also expected to receive strong rainfall.
In 2023, over 25 districts received less than average rain. But in 2024, 44 districts, including Bhopal and Gwalior, recorded more rainfall than normal. This led to better soybean yields and strong wheat and gram crops. Another detailed update on the monsoon is expected from the IMD at the end of May.
The department also expects some areas to get up to 150 percent of normal rainfall. Most districts in Narmadapuram, Sagar, Rewa, and Chambal divisions are included in this prediction. Areas near the Uttar Pradesh border may receive normal rainfall.
In 2017, MP recorded its lowest rainfall at 29.9 inches, well below the average of 37.3 inches. In 2019, the state saw its highest rainfall with 53 inches. Since then, rainfall has remained near or above normal. If this year follows the pattern, MP will experience above-average rainfall for the seventh consecutive year.
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